Active weather spans much of the Western Hemisphere on Thursday, December 12. Accurately predicting the weather is hard — really hard, but a new AI-powered forecast model just hit a milestone that has ...

For the first time in its 70 years of existence, the National Hurricane Center incorporated AI weather model guidance in its ...

Right now, the world’s best weather forecast model is a General Circulation Model, or GCM, put together by the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. A GCM is in part based on code that ...

Combining a multitude of predictions and projections, modeling teams hone the uncertainty. Earlier this spring, a paper studying covid forecasting appeared on the medRxiv preprint server with an ...

Weather forecasters need a ton of knowledge and a fair bit of experience with local weather patterns to do their job well. They also need a good forecast model. These computer models take in ...

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) set a new record in 2012 for accuracy of their 1, 2, 3, and 4-day Atlantic tropical cyclone track forecasts, but had almost no skill making intensity forecasts, ...

A lurking La Niña pattern often heightens the risk for "rain-to-ice" transitions in Georgia. This is the exact scenario that ...

THE MOOD among Democrats, as they prepare to gather for their national convention in Chicago next week, is ebullient. Kamalamentum has transformed the presidential contest. Meanwhile, the Republicans ...

Our presidential forecast, which launched today, is not the first election forecast that FiveThirtyEight has published since 2016. There was our midterms forecast in 2018, which was pretty accurate in ...